Last data update: Apr 22, 2024. (Total: 46599 publications since 2009)
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Modeling the spread of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 outbreaks and interventions: A case study of Nigeria
Sun Y , Keskinocak P , Steimle LN , Kovacs SD , Wassilak SG . Vaccine X 2024 18 100476 BACKGROUND: Despite the successes of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, substantial challenges remain in eradicating the poliovirus. The Sabin-strain (live-attenuated) virus in oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) can revert to circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) in under-vaccinated communities, regain neurovirulence and transmissibility, and cause paralysis outbreaks. Since the cessation of type 2-containing OPV (OPV2) in 2016, there have been cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreaks in four out of six geographical World Health Organization regions, making these outbreaks a significant public health threat. Preparing for and responding to cVDPV2 outbreaks requires an updated understanding of how different factors, such as outbreak responses with the novel type of OPV2 (nOPV2) and the existence of under-vaccinated areas, affect the disease spread. METHODS: We built a differential-equation-based model to simulate the transmission of cVDPV2 following reversion of the Sabin-strain virus in prolonged circulation. The model incorporates vaccinations by essential (routine) immunization and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs), the immunity induced by different poliovirus vaccines, and the reversion process from Sabin-strain virus to cVDPV. The model's outcomes include weekly cVDPV2 paralytic case counts and the die-out date when cVDPV2 transmission stops. In a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria, we fit the model to data on the weekly cVDPV2 case counts with onset in 2018-2021. We then used the model to test the impact of different outbreak response scenarios during a prediction period of 2022-2023. The response scenarios included no response, the planned response (based on Nigeria's SIA calendar), and a set of hypothetical responses that vary in the dates at which SIAs started. The planned response scenario included two rounds of SIAs that covered almost all areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria except some under-vaccinated areas (e.g., Sokoto). The hypothetical response scenarios involved two, three, and four rounds of SIAs that covered the whole Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. All SIAs in tested outbreak response scenarios used nOPV2. We compared the outcomes of tested outbreak response scenarios in the prediction period. RESULTS: Modeled cVDPV2 weekly case counts aligned spatiotemporally with the data. The prediction results indicated that implementing the planned response reduced total case counts by 79% compared to no response, but did not stop the transmission, especially in under-vaccinated areas. Implementing the hypothetical response scenarios involving two rounds of nOPV2 SIAs that covered all areas further reduced cVDPV2 case counts in under-vaccinated areas by 91-95% compared to the planned response, with greater impact from completing the two rounds at an earlier time, but it did not stop the transmission. When the first two rounds were completed in early April 2022, implementing two additional rounds stopped the transmission in late January 2023. When the first two rounds were completed six weeks earlier (i.e., in late February 2022), implementing one (two) additional round stopped the transmission in early February 2023 (late November 2022). The die out was always achieved last in the under-vaccinated areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. CONCLUSIONS: A differential-equation-based model of poliovirus transmission was developed and validated in a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. The results highlighted (i) the effectiveness of nOPV2 in reducing outbreak case counts; (ii) the need for more rounds of outbreak response SIAs that covered all of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria in 2022 to stop the cVDPV2 outbreaks; (iii) that persistent transmission in under-vaccinated areas delayed the progress towards stopping outbreaks; and (iv) that a quicker outbreak response would avert more paralytic cases and require fewer SIA rounds to stop the outbreaks. |
Contextual factors relevant to implementing social risk factor screening and referrals in cancer survivorship: A qualitative study
Astorino JA , Pratt-Chapman ML , Schubel L , Lee Smith J , White A , Sabatino SA , Littlejohn R , Buckley BO , Taylor T , Arem H . Prev Chronic Dis 2024 21 E22 INTRODUCTION: Social risk factors such as food insecurity and lack of transportation can negatively affect health outcomes, yet implementation of screening and referral for social risk factors is limited in medical settings, particularly in cancer survivorship. METHODS: We conducted 18 qualitative, semistructured interviews among oncology teams in 3 health systems in Washington, DC, during February and March 2022. We applied the Exploration, Preparation, Implementation, Sustainment Framework to develop a deductive codebook, performed thematic analysis on the interview transcripts, and summarized our results descriptively. RESULTS: Health systems varied in clinical and support staff roles and capacity. None of the participating clinics had an electronic health record (EHR)-based process for identifying patients who completed their cancer treatment ("survivors") or a standardized cancer survivorship program. Their capacities also differed for documenting social risk factors and referrals in the EHR. Interviewees expressed awareness of the prevalence and effect of social risk factors on cancer survivors, but none employed a systematic process for identifying and addressing social risk factors. Recommendations for increasing screening for social risk factors included designating a person to fulfill this role, improving data tracking tools in the EHR, and creating systems to maintain up-to-date information and contacts for community-based organizations. CONCLUSION: The complexity of cancer care workflows and lack of reimbursement results in a limited ability for clinic staff members to screen and make referrals for social risk factors. Creating clinical workflows that are flexible and tailored to staffing realities may contribute to successful implementation of a screening and referral program. Improving ongoing communication with community-based organizations to address needs was deemed important by interviewees. |
Trends in U.S. Medical cannabis registrations, authorizing clinicians, and reasons for use from 2020 to 2022
Boehnke KF , Sinclair R , Gordon F , Hosanagar A , Roehler DR , Smith T , Hoots B . Ann Intern Med 2024 BACKGROUND: As medical cannabis availability increases, up-to-date trends in medical cannabis licensure can inform clinical policy and care. OBJECTIVE: To describe current trends in medical cannabis licensure in the United States. DESIGN: Ecological study with repeated measures. SETTING: Publicly available state registry data from 2020 to 2022. PARTICIPANTS: People with medical cannabis licenses and clinicians authorizing cannabis licenses in the United States. MEASUREMENTS: Total patient volume and prevalence per 10 000 persons in the total population, symptoms or conditions qualifying patients for licensure (that is, patient-reported qualifying conditions), and number of authorizing clinicians. RESULTS: In 2022, of 39 jurisdictions allowing medical cannabis use, 34 reported patient numbers, 19 reported patient-reported qualifying conditions, and 29 reported authorizing clinician numbers. Enrolled patients increased 33.3% from 2020 (3 099 096) to 2022 (4 132 098), with a corresponding 23.0% increase in the population prevalence of patients (175.0 per 10 000 in 2020 to 215.2 per 10 000 in 2022). However, 13 of 15 jurisdictions with nonmedical adult-use laws had decreased enrollment from 2020 to 2022. The proportion of patient-reported qualifying conditions with substantial or conclusive evidence of therapeutic value decreased from 70.4% (2020) to 53.8% (2022). Chronic pain was the most common patient-reported qualifying condition in 2022 (48.4%), followed by anxiety (14.2%) and posttraumatic stress disorder (13.0%). In 2022, the United States had 29 500 authorizing clinicians (7.7 per 1000 patients), 53.5% of whom were physicians. The most common specialties reported were internal or family medicine (63.4%), physical medicine and rehabilitation (9.1%), and anesthesia or pain (7.9%). LIMITATION: Missing data (for example, from California), descriptive analysis, lack of information on individual use patterns, and changing evidence base. CONCLUSION: Enrollment in medical cannabis programs increased overall but generally decreased in jurisdictions with nonmedical adult-use laws. Use for conditions or symptoms without a strong evidence basis continues to increase. Given these trends, more research is needed to better understand the risks and benefits of medical cannabis. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health. |
HIV risk behaviour, viraemia, and transmission across HIV cascade stages including low-level viremia: Analysis of 14 cross-sectional population-based HIV Impact Assessment surveys in sub-Saharan Africa
Edun O , Okell L , Chun H , Bissek AZ , Ndongmo CB , Shang JD , Brou H , Ehui E , Ekra AK , Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha H , Dlamini SS , Ginindza C , Eshetu F , Misganie YG , Desta SL , Achia TNO , Aoko A , Jonnalagadda S , Wafula R , Asiimwe FM , Lecher S , Nkanaunena K , Nyangulu MK , Nyirenda R , Beukes A , Klemens JO , Taffa N , Abutu AA , Alagi M , Charurat ME , Dalhatu I , Aliyu G , Kamanzi C , Nyagatare C , Rwibasira GN , Jalloh MF , Maokola WM , Mgomella GS , Kirungi WL , Mwangi C , Nel JA , Minchella PA , Gonese G , Nasr MA , Bodika S , Mungai E , Patel HK , Sleeman K , Milligan K , Dirlikov E , Voetsch AC , Shiraishi RW , Imai-Eaton JW . PLOS Glob Public Health 2024 4 (4) e0003030 As antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage for people living with HIV (PLHIV) increases, HIV programmes require up-to-date information about evolving HIV risk behaviour and transmission risk, including those with low-level viremia (LLV; >50 to ≤1000 copies/mL), to guide prevention priorities. We aimed to assess differences in sexual risk behaviours, distribution of viral load (VL) and proportion of transmission across PLHIV subgroups. We analysed data from Population-based HIV Impact Assessment surveys in 14 sub-Saharan African countries during 2015-2019. We estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) of self-reported HIV high-risk behaviour (multiple partners and condomless sex) across cascade stages via generalised estimation equations. We modelled the proportions of transmission from each subgroup using relative self-reported sexual risk, a Hill function for transmission rate by VL, and proportions within cascade stages from surveys and UNAIDS country estimates for 2010-2020. Compared to PLHIV with undetectable VL (≤50 copies/mL), undiagnosed PLHIV (aPR women: 1.28 [95% CI: 1.08-1.52]; men: 1.61 [1.33-1.95]) and men diagnosed but untreated (2.06 [1.52-2.78]) were more likely to self-report high-risk sex. High-risk behaviour was not significantly associated with LLV. Mean VL was similar among undiagnosed, diagnosed but untreated, and on ART but non-suppressed sub-groups. Across surveys, undiagnosed and diagnosed but untreated contributed most to transmission (40-91% and 1-41%, respectively), with less than 1% from those with LLV. Between 2010 and 2020, the proportion of transmission from individuals on ART but non-suppressed increased. In settings with high ART coverage, effective HIV testing, ART linkage, and retention remain priorities to reduce HIV transmission. Persons with LLV are an increasing share of PLHIV but their contribution to HIV transmission was small. Improving suppression among PLHIV on ART with VL ≥1000 copies/mL will become increasingly important. |
Comparison of tuberculin skin testing and interferon-γ release assays in predicting tuberculosis disease
Ayers T , Hill AN , Raykin J , Mohanty S , Belknap RW , Brostrom R , Khurana R , Lauzardo M , Miller TL , Narita M , Pettit AC , Pyan A , Salcedo KL , Polony A , Flood J . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (4) e244769 IMPORTANCE: Elimination of tuberculosis (TB) disease in the US hinges on the ability of tests to detect individual risk of developing disease to inform prevention. The relative performance of 3 available TB tests-the tuberculin skin test (TST) and 2 interferon-γ release assays (IGRAs; QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube [QFT-GIT] and SPOT.TB [TSPOT])-in predicting TB disease development in the US remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of the TST with the QFT-GIT and TSPOT IGRAs in predicting TB disease in high-risk populations. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective diagnostic study included participants at high risk of TB infection (TBI) or progression to TB disease at 10 US sites between 2012 and 2020. Participants of any age who had close contact with a case patient with infectious TB, were born in a country with medium or high TB incidence, had traveled recently to a high-incidence country, were living with HIV infection, or were from a population with a high local prevalence were enrolled from July 12, 2012, through May 5, 2017. Participants were assessed for 2 years after enrollment and through registry matches until the study end date (November 15, 2020). Data analysis was performed in June 2023. EXPOSURES: At enrollment, participants were concurrently tested with 2 IGRAs (QFT-GIT from Qiagen and TSPOT from Oxford Immunotec) and the TST. Participants were classified as case patients with incident TB disease when diagnosed more than 30 days from enrollment. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Estimated positive predictive value (PPV) ratios from generalized estimating equation models were used to compare test performance in predicting incident TB. Incremental changes in PPV were estimated to determine whether predictive performance significantly improved with the addition of a second test. Case patients with prevalent TB were examined in sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: A total of 22 020 eligible participants were included in this study. Their median age was 32 (range, 0-102) years, more than half (51.2%) were male, and the median follow-up was 6.4 (range, 0.2-8.3) years. Most participants (82.0%) were born outside the US, and 9.6% were close contacts. Tuberculosis disease was identified in 129 case patients (0.6%): 42 (0.2%) had incident TB and 87 (0.4%) had prevalent TB. The TSPOT and QFT-GIT assays performed significantly better than the TST (PPV ratio, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.35-2.02] and 1.47 [95% CI, 1.22-1.77], respectively). The incremental gain in PPV, given a positive TST result, was statistically significant for positive QFT-GIT and TSPOT results (1.64 [95% CI, 1.40-1.93] and 1.94 [95% CI, 1.65-2.27], respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this diagnostic study assessing predictive value, IGRAs demonstrated superior performance for predicting incident TB compared with the TST. Interferon-γ release assays provided a statistically significant incremental improvement in PPV when a positive TST result was known. These findings suggest that IGRA performance may enhance decisions to treat TBI and prevent TB. |
Strange Case of a Sojourn in Saranac
Chorba T . Emerg Infect Dis 12/28/2021 27 (3) 994-5 Robert Louis Stevenson, the renowned Scottish author and poet, was born in 1850 in Edinburgh, Scotland. From childhood onward, he suffered from frequent chest infections, fevers, and hemoptysis. This master who gave us Treasure Island (1881–83), A Child’s Garden of Verses (1885), Kidnapped (1886), and Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde (1886) lived his brief 44 years in an era when tuberculosis (then called consumption) was widespread in Europe but laboratory and radiologic diagnostics were not available. | | On March 24, 1882, the date on which World TB Day is based, Robert Koch announced his discovery of the causative organism of tuberculosis, Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Through Koch’s use of alkalinized methylene blue stain and a brown counterstain for contrast, this discovery laid to rest the theory that tuberculosis was congenital, a belief stemming from its extensive occurrence in families. In 1895, Wilhelm Röntgen first described the potential medical application of radiography when he captured the image of the bony and soft-tissue structures of his wife’s hand on a photographic plate. Without bacteriology or radiography, Stevenson’s persistently cachectic body habitus and pulmonary symptoms were thought to be consistent with tuberculosis, although other diagnoses have been proposed. These have included chronic idiopathic bronchiectasis, sarcoidosis, and hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia, any of which could potentially have been exacerbated by residual scarring from the bouts of pneumonia he experienced as a child and by his chain-smoking as an adult. |
Mapping the Complexity of Suicide by Combining Participatory Modeling and Network Science
Giabbanelli PJ , Galgoczy MC , Nguyen DM , Foy R , Rice KL , Nataraj N , Brown MM , Harper CR . Proc IEEE ACM Int Conf Adv Soc Netw Anal Min 12/28/2021 12 (1) 339-342 Suicide rates are steadily increasing among youth in the USA. Although several theories and frameworks of suicide have been developed, they do not account for some of the features that define suicide as a complex problem, such as a large number of interrelationships and cycles. In this paper, we create the first c omprehensive m ap o f a dverse c hildhood experiences (ACEs) and suicide for youth, by combining a participatory approach (involving 15 subject-matter experts) and network science. This results in a map of 946 edges and 361 concepts, in which we identify ACEs to be the most important factor (per degree centrality). The map is openly shared with the community to support further network analyses (e.g., decomposition into clusters). Similarly to the high-impact Foresight Map developed in the context of obesity, the largest map on suicide and ACEs to date presented in this paper can start a discussion at the crossroad of suicide research and network science, thus bringing new means to address a complex public health challenge. |
Tuberculosis preventive treatment update - U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, 36 Countries, 2016-2023
Ajiboye AS , O'Connor S , Smith JP , Ahmedov S , Coggin WL , Charles M , Ghosh S , Pierre P , Shah N , Teran RA , Moonan PK , Date A . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (11) 233-238 Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death among persons with HIV. In 2022, an estimated 167,000 TB-related deaths occurred globally among persons with HIV. TB preventive treatment (TPT) helps prevent TB disease and is recommended for persons at high risk for developing TB, including those with HIV. TPT, when taken with antiretroviral treatment (ART), can reduce TB-attributable deaths among persons with HIV. In 2018, the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) program committed to offer one course of TPT to all eligible clients receiving ART. This analysis describes trends in TPT initiation and completion among PEPFAR-supported programs in 36 countries in Africa, Central and South America, and Asia during fiscal years (FYs) 2017-2023. Overall, TPT initiation rates peaked in FY19, a possible sign of programmatic saturation. TPT initiation among clients who had been on ART <6 months reached 59%, and overall completion rates up to 87% were reported. Approximately 13 million persons with HIV have completed TPT since FY17, but widespread adoption of shorter regimens, patient-centered approaches, and electronic medical record systems might be needed to ensure full TPT coverage. Through PEPFAR's partnership with national HIV programs, TPT has become the standard of care for persons with HIV. |
HIV-1 incidence, adherence, and drug resistance in individuals taking daily emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for HIV-1 pre-exposure prophylaxis: Pooled analysis from 72 global studies
Landovitz RJ , Tao L , Yang J , de Boer M , Carter C , Das M , Baeten JM , Liu A , Hoover KW , Celum C , Grinsztejn B , Morris S , Wheeler DP , Mayer KH , Golub SA , Bekker LG , Diabaté S , Hoornenborg E , Myers J , Leech AA , McCormack S , Chan PA , Sweat M , Matthews LT , Grant R . Clin Infect Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (F/TDF) has high efficacy against HIV-1 acquisition. Seventy-two prospective studies of daily oral F/TDF PrEP were conducted to evaluate HIV-1 incidence, drug resistance, adherence, and bone and renal safety in diverse settings. METHODS: HIV-1 incidence was calculated from incident HIV-1 diagnoses after PrEP initiation and within 60 days of discontinuation. Tenofovir concentration in dried blood spots (DBS), drug resistance, and bone/renal safety indicators were evaluated in a subset of studies. RESULTS: Among 17,274 participants, there were 101 cases with new HIV-1 diagnosis (0.77 per 100 person-years; 95% CI 0.63-0.94). In 78 cases with resistance data, 18 (23%) had M184I or V, one (1.3%) had K65R, and three (3.8%) had both mutations. In 54 cases with tenofovir concentration data from DBS, 45 (83.3%), 2 (3.7%), 6 (11.1%), and 1 (1.9%) had average adherence of <2, 2-3, 4-6, and ≥7 doses/week, respectively, and the corresponding incidence was 3.9 (95% CI 2.9-5.3), 0.24 (0.060-0.95), 0.27 (0.12-0.60), and 0.054 (0.008-0.38) per 100 person-years. Adherence was low in younger participants, Hispanic/Latinx and Black participants, cisgender women, and transgender women. Bone and renal adverse event incidence rates were 0.69 and 11.8 per 100 person-years, respectively, consistent with previous reports. CONCLUSIONS: Leveraging the largest pooled analysis of global PrEP studies to date, we demonstrate that F/TDF is safe and highly effective, even with less than daily dosing, in diverse clinical settings, geographies, populations, and routes of HIV-1 exposure. |
Remote surveillance and detection of SARS-CoV-2 transmission among household members in King County, Washington
Emanuels A , Casto AM , Heimonen J , O'Hanlon J , Chow EJ , Ogokeh C , Rolfes MA , Han PD , Hughes JP , Uyeki TM , Frazar C , Chung E , Starita LM , Englund JA , Chu HY . BMC Infect Dis 2024 24 (1) 309 BACKGROUND: Early during the COVID-19 pandemic, it was important to better understand transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Household contacts of infected individuals are particularly at risk for infection, but delays in contact tracing, delays in testing contacts, and isolation and quarantine posed challenges to accurately capturing secondary household cases. METHODS: In this study, 346 households in the Seattle region were provided with respiratory specimen collection kits and remotely monitored using web-based surveys for respiratory illness symptoms weekly between October 1, 2020, and June 20, 2021. Symptomatic participants collected respiratory specimens at symptom onset and mailed specimens to the central laboratory in Seattle. Specimens were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-PCR with whole genome sequencing attempted when positive. SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals were notified, and their household contacts submitted specimens every 2 days for 14 days. RESULTS: In total, 1371 participants collected 2029 specimens that were tested; 16 individuals (1.2%) within 6 households tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during the study period. Full genome sequences were generated from 11 individuals within 4 households. Very little genetic variation was found among SARS-CoV-2 viruses sequenced from different individuals in the same household, supporting transmission within the household. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates web-based surveillance of respiratory symptoms, combined with rapid and longitudinal specimen collection and remote contact tracing, provides a viable strategy to monitor households and detect household transmission of SARS-CoV-2. TRIAL REGISTRATION IDENTIFIER: NCT04141930, Date of registration 28/10/2019. |
Exposure among middle and high school students to warning labels on e-cigarette packages before and after an FDA requirement, 2018-2019
Snyder K , Liu ST , Donaldson EA , Wang T , Gentzke A . Prev Chronic Dis 2024 21 E16 INTRODUCTION: Beginning August 10, 2018, a US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) rule required all e-cigarette packages to have a health warning. We examined exposure among middle and high school students to e-cigarette warnings before and after the compliance date of the FDA's deeming rule, a rule allowing the FDA to regulate e-cigarettes, cigars, and other products. METHODS: We analyzed data from middle and high school students participating in the 2018 and 2019 National Youth Tobacco Survey. We generated weighted prevalence estimates for any exposure ("rarely," "sometimes," "most of the time," or "always") and high exposure ("most of the time" or "always") to warnings. We used independent 2-sided t tests to examine differences in exposure between 2018 and 2019 and χ(2) tests to examine differences in any exposure and high exposure by demographic characteristics and tobacco use behaviors in 2019. Analyses excluded respondents who reported they had not seen an e-cigarette package. RESULTS: In 2019, 68.0% (vs 67.7% in 2018) of students reported any past 30-day exposure to e-cigarette warning labels and 35.0% (vs 28.7% in 2018) reported high exposure; we observed differences in the proportion of students reporting any and high exposure to warning labels across demographic characteristics and tobacco use behaviors. From 2018 to 2019, report of any and high exposure to e-cigarette warning labels increased among students who currently used any tobacco product and e-cigarettes. We observed increases in high exposure to e-cigarette warning labels overall, and among male students, female students, non-Hispanic White students, and middle and high school students. CONCLUSION: After implementation of the health warnings per the FDA's deeming rule, the percentage of current tobacco users and e-cigarette users among middle and high school students who reported any and high exposure to e-cigarette warning labels increased. Continued monitoring of reactions can inform if warnings are achieving their regulatory goal. |
Assessing a digital scorecard on global immunization progress: Stakeholder views and implications for enhancing performance and accountability
Weeks R . Vaccines (Basel) 2024 12 (2) Global health agencies and regional and national stakeholders collaborated to develop the Immunization Agenda 2030 Scorecard, a digital data visualization platform displaying global, regional, and country-level immunization progress. The scorecard serves to focus attention and enable strategic actions around the measures visualized. To assess the scorecard's usability, appropriateness, and context for use, we interviewed 15 immunization officers working across five global regions. To further understand the implementation context, we also reviewed the characteristics of 15 public platforms visualizing population health data. We integrated thematic findings across both methods. Many platforms highlight service gaps and enable comparisons between geographies to foster political pressure for service improvements. We observed heterogeneity regarding the platforms' focus areas and participants' leading concerns, which were management capacity and resourcing. Furthermore, one-third of platforms were out of date. Results yielded recommendations for the scorecard, which participants felt was well suited to focus the attention of decision makers on key immunization data. A simpler design coupled with implementation strategies that more actively engage policymakers would better align the scorecard with other public platforms engaging intended users. For population health platforms to serve as effective accountability mechanisms, studying implementation determinants, including usability testing, is vital to meet stakeholder needs. |
An indicator framework for the monitoring and evaluation of event-based surveillance systems
Crawley AW , Mercy K , Shivji S , Lofgren H , Trowbridge D , Manthey C , Tebeje YK , Clara AW , Landry K , Salyer SJ . Lancet Glob Health 2024 Event-based surveillance (EBS) systems have been implemented globally to support early warning surveillance across human, animal, and environmental health in diverse settings, including at the community level, within health facilities, at border points of entry, and through media monitoring of internet-based sources. EBS systems should be evaluated periodically to ensure that they meet the objectives related to the early detection of health threats and to identify areas for improvement in the quality, efficiency, and usefulness of the systems. However, to date, there has been no comprehensive framework to guide the monitoring and evaluation of EBS systems; this absence of standardisation has hindered progress in the field. The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention and US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have collaborated to develop an EBS monitoring and evaluation indicator framework, adaptable to specific country contexts, that uses measures relating to input, activity, output, outcome, and impact to map the processes and expected results of EBS systems. Through the implementation and continued refinement of these indicators, countries can ensure the early detection of health threats and improve their ability to measure and describe the impacts of EBS systems, thus filling the current evidence gap regarding their effectiveness. |
Parks, trails, and greenways for physical activity: A Community Guide systematic economic review
Jacob V , Reynolds JA , Chattopadhyay SK , Hopkins DP , Brown DR , Devlin HM , Barrett A , Berrigan D , Crespo CJ , Heath GW , Brownson RC , Cuellar AE , Clymer JM , Chriqui JF . Am J Prev Med 2024 INTRODUCTION: This systematic economic review examined the cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness of park, trail, and greenway infrastructure interventions to increase physical activity or infrastructure use. METHODS: The search period covered the date of inception of publications databases through February 2022. Inclusion was limited to studies that reported cost-benefit or cost-effectiveness outcomes and were based in the United States and other high-income countries. Analyses were conducted during March 2022 through December 2022. All monetary values reported are in 2021 U.S. dollars. RESULTS: The search yielded 1 study based in the United States and 7 based on other high-income countries, with 1 reporting cost-effectiveness and 7 reporting cost-benefit outcomes. The cost-effectiveness study based in the United Kingdom reported $23,254 per disability-adjusted life year averted. The median benefit to cost ratio was 3.1 (Interquartile Interval: 2.9 to 3.9) based on 7 studies. DISCUSSION: The evidence shows that economic benefits exceed the intervention cost of park, trail, and greenway infrastructure. Given large differences in the size of infrastructure, intervention cost and economic benefits varied substantially across studies. There was insufficient number of studies to determine cost-effectiveness of these interventions. |
Updating reproduction number estimates for Mpox in the Democratic Republic of Congo using surveillance data
Charniga K , McCollum AM , Hughes CM , Monroe B , Kabamba J , Lushima RS , Likafi T , Nguete B , Pukuta E , Muyamuna E , Tamfum JM , Karhemere S , Kaba D , Nakazawa Y . Am J Trop Med Hyg 2024 Incidence of human monkeypox (mpox) has been increasing in West and Central Africa, including in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), where monkeypox virus (MPXV) is endemic. Most estimates of the pathogen's transmissibility in the DRC are based on data from the 1980s. Amid the global 2022 mpox outbreak, new estimates are needed to characterize the virus' epidemic potential and inform outbreak control strategies. We used the R package vimes to identify clusters of laboratory-confirmed mpox cases in Tshuapa Province, DRC. Cases with both temporal and spatial data were assigned to clusters based on the disease's serial interval and spatial kernel. We used the size of the clusters to infer the effective reproduction number, Rt, and the rate of zoonotic spillover of MPXV into the human population. Out of 1,463 confirmed mpox cases reported in Tshuapa Province between 2013 and 2017, 878 had both date of symptom onset and a location with geographic coordinates. Results include an estimated Rt of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.79-0.85) and a rate of 132 (95% CI: 122-143) spillovers per year assuming a reporting rate of 25%. This estimate of Rt is larger than most previous estimates. One potential explanation for this result is that Rt could have increased in the DRC over time owing to declining population-level immunity conferred by smallpox vaccination, which was discontinued around 1982. Rt could be overestimated if our assumption of one spillover event per cluster does not hold. Our results are consistent with increased transmissibility of MPXV in Tshuapa Province. |
Implementing a continuous quality-improvement framework for tuberculosis infection prevention and control in healthcare facilities in China, 2017-2019
Zhang C , O'Connor S , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Rodriguez DF , Guo H , Hao L , Chen H , Sun Y , Li Y , Xu J , Chen L , Xia L , Yang X , Date A , Cheng J . Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2024 1-7 BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) infection prevention and control (IPC) in healthcare facilities is key to reducing transmission risk. A framework for systematically improving TB IPC through training and mentorship was implemented in 9 healthcare facilities in China from 2017 to 2019. METHODS: Facilities conducted standardized TB IPC assessments at baseline and quarterly thereafter for 18 months. Facility-based performance was assessed using quantifiable indicators for IPC core components and administrative, environmental, and respiratory protection controls, and as a composite of all control types We calculated the percentage changes in scores over time and differences by IPC control type and facility characteristics. RESULTS: Scores for IPC core components increased by 72% during follow-up when averaged across facilities. The percentage changes for administrative, environmental, and respiratory protection controls were 39%, 46%, and 30%, respectively. Composite scores were 45% higher after the intervention. Overall, scores increased most during the first 6 months. There was no association between IPC implementation and provincial economic development or volume of TB services. CONCLUSIONS: TB IPC policies and practices showed most improvement early during implementation and did not differ consistently by facility characteristics. The training component of the project helped increase the capacity of healthcare professionals to manage TB transmission risks. Lessons learned here will inform national TB IPC guidance. |
Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-cov-2 infection in children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years
Feldstein LR , Britton A , Grant L , Wiegand R , Ruffin J , Babu TM , Briggs Hagen M , Burgess JL , Caban-Martinez AJ , Chu HY , Ellingson KD , Englund JA , Hegmann KT , Jeddy Z , Lauring AS , Lutrick K , Martin ET , Mathenge C , Meece J , Midgley CM , Monto AS , Newes-Adeyi G , Odame-Bamfo L , Olsho LEW , Phillips AL , Rai RP , Saydah S , Smith N , Steinhardt L , Tyner H , Vandermeer M , Vaughan M , Yoon SK , Gaglani M , Naleway AL . Jama 2024 331 (5) 408-416 IMPORTANCE: Bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines were recommended in the US for children and adolescents aged 12 years or older on September 1, 2022, and for children aged 5 to 11 years on October 12, 2022; however, data demonstrating the effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines are limited. OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among children and adolescents. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data for the period September 4, 2022, to January 31, 2023, were combined from 3 prospective US cohort studies (6 sites total) and used to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. A total of 2959 participants completed periodic surveys (demographics, household characteristics, chronic medical conditions, and COVID-19 symptoms) and submitted weekly self-collected nasal swabs (irrespective of symptoms); participants submitted additional nasal swabs at the onset of any symptoms. EXPOSURE: Vaccination status was captured from the periodic surveys and supplemented with data from state immunization information systems and electronic medical records. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Respiratory swabs were tested for the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus using reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined as a positive test regardless of symptoms. Symptomatic COVID-19 was defined as a positive test and 2 or more COVID-19 symptoms within 7 days of specimen collection. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among participants who received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose vs participants who received no vaccine or monovalent vaccine doses only. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, underlying health conditions, prior SARS-CoV-2 infection status, geographic site, proportion of circulating variants by site, and local virus prevalence. RESULTS: Of the 2959 participants (47.8% were female; median age, 10.6 years [IQR, 8.0-13.2 years]; 64.6% were non-Hispanic White) included in this analysis, 25.4% received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose. During the study period, 426 participants (14.4%) had laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among these 426 participants, 184 (43.2%) had symptomatic COVID-19, 383 (89.9%) were not vaccinated or had received only monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses (1.38 SARS-CoV-2 infections per 1000 person-days), and 43 (10.1%) had received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose (0.84 SARS-CoV-2 infections per 1000 person-days). Bivalent vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection was 54.0% (95% CI, 36.6%-69.1%) and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 was 49.4% (95% CI, 22.2%-70.7%). The median observation time after vaccination was 276 days (IQR, 142-350 days) for participants who received only monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses vs 50 days (IQR, 27-74 days) for those who received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: The bivalent COVID-19 vaccines protected children and adolescents against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19. These data demonstrate the benefit of COVID-19 vaccine in children and adolescents. All eligible children and adolescents should remain up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccinations. |
Factors affecting maternal participation in the genetic component of the National Birth Defects Prevention Study-United States, 1997-2007.
Glidewell J , Reefhuis J , Rasmussen SA , Woomert A , Hobbs C , Romitti PA , Crider KS . Genet Med 2014 16 (4) 329-37 PURPOSE: As epidemiological studies expand to examine gene-environment interaction effects, it is important to identify factors associated with participation in genetic studies. The National Birth Defects Prevention Study is a multisite case-control study designed to investigate environmental and genetic risk factors for major birth defects. The National Birth Defects Prevention Study includes maternal telephone interviews and mailed buccal cell self-collection kits. Because subjects can participate in the interview, independent of buccal cell collection, detailed analysis of factors associated with participation in buccal cell collection was possible. METHODS: Multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify the factors associated with participation in the genetic component of the study. RESULTS: Buccal cell participation rates varied by race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic whites, 66.9%; Hispanics, 60.4%; and non-Hispanic blacks, 47.3%) and study site (50.2-74.2%). Additional monetary incentive following return of buccal cell kit and shorter interval between infant's estimated date of delivery and interview were associated with increased participation across all racial/ethnic groups. Higher education and delivering an infant with a birth defect were associated with increased participation among non-Hispanic whites and Hispanics. CONCLUSION: Factors associated with participation varied by race/ethnicity. Improved understanding of factors associated with participation may facilitate strategies to increase participation, thereby improving generalizability of study findings. |
Molecular and Phenotypic Characterization of a Highly Evolved Type 2 Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus Isolated from Seawater in Brazil, 2014.
Cassemiro KM , Burlandy FM , Barbosa MR , Chen Q , Jorba J , Hachich EM , Sato MI , Burns CC , da Silva EE . PLoS One 2016 11 (3) e0152251 A type 2 vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV), differing from the Sabin 2 strain at 8.6% (78/903) of VP1 nucleotide positions, was isolated from seawater collected from a seaport in São Paulo State, Brazil. The P1/capsid region is related to the Sabin 2 strain, but sequences within the 5'-untranslated region and downstream of the P1 region were derived from recombination with other members of Human Enterovirus Species C (HEV-C). The two known attenuating mutations had reverted to wild-type (A481G in the 5'-UTR and Ile143Thr in VP1). The VDPV isolate had lost the temperature sensitive phenotype and had accumulated amino acid substitutions in neutralizing antigenic (NAg) sites 3a and 3b. The date of the initiating OPV dose, estimated from the number of synonymous substitutions in the capsid region, was approximately 8.5 years before seawater sampling, a finding consistent with a long time of virus replication and possible transmission among several individuals. Although no closely related type 2 VDPVs were detected in Brazil or elsewhere, this VDPV was found in an area with a mobile population, where conditions may favor both viral infection and spread. Environmental surveillance serves as an important tool for sensitive and early detection of circulating poliovirus in the final stages of global polio eradication. |
CIC2022: An informatics-driven strategy for improving immunization healthcare data quality using 2D barcoding and barcode scanning practices
Reza F , Jones C , Reed JH . Appl Clin Inform 2024 Manual data entry is time-consuming, inefficient, and error prone. In contrast, leveraging two-dimensional (2D) barcodes and barcode scanning tools is a rapid, efficient, and effective practice for automatically entering data accurately and completely during vaccine inventorying and administration. CDC pilots in a variety of healthcare settings documented the clinical and public health impact of 2D barcode scanning practices on data quality and completeness, time savings, workflow efficiencies, and staff experience. A sample of 50 million emergency use authorization (EUA) COVID-19 vaccine records were analyzed for accuracy and completeness across three data fields: lot number, expiration date, and National Drug Code (NDC). These vaccines did not include a 2D barcode containing these data fields, thus necessitating manual entry of vaccine data at administration. During a CDC pilot with clinic sites, comparison was made between automatically scanned and manually entered data for routine vaccines for accuracy and completeness across these data fields. Analysis of 50 million manually entered EUA vaccine administration records indicated significant gaps in data accuracy and completeness across three data fields observed. Over half of the 50 million EUA vaccine NDCs (53%) and one-third of the expiration dates (35%) analyzed had missing or inaccurate data recorded. Pilot data also showed many errors when manually entered. However, when 67,951 (out of 72,979) vaccines were scanned during the pilot, nearly all entries were complete and accurate across all three data fields (ranging from 99.7% to 99.999% accurate). Vaccine 2D barcode scanning practices increased data accuracy and completeness (up to 99.999% accurate) across data fields assessed. When used consistently, vaccine 2D barcode scanning can resolve the issues demonstrated in manually entered data. To realize these benefits, the immunization community should widely adopt scanning practices. To increase use, CDC has developed a Vaccine 2D Barcode National Adoption Strategy and resources to guide implementation. |
Mild traumatic brain injuries and risk for affective and behavioral disorders
Delmonico RL , Tucker LY , Theodore BR , Camicia M , Filanosky C , Haarbauer-Krupa J . Pediatrics 2024 153 (2) OBJECTIVES: Recent studies document an association between mild traumatic brain injuries (mTBIs) in children and postinjury psychiatric disorders. However. these studies were subject to limitations in the design, lack of long-term follow-up, and poorly defined psychiatric outcomes. This study determines the incidence and relative risk of postinjury new affective and behavior disorders 4 years after mTBIs. METHODS: A cohort study of mTBI cases and matched comparisons within an integrated health care system. The mTBI group included patients ≤17 years of age, diagnosed with mTBI from 2000 to 2014 (N = 18 917). Comparisons included 2 unexposed patients (N = 37 834) per each mTBI-exposed patient, randomly selected and matched for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and date of medical visit (reference date to mTBI injury). Outcomes included a diagnosis of affective or behavioral disorders in the 4 years after mTBI or the reference date. RESULTS: Adjusted risks for affective disorders were significantly higher across the first 3 years after injury for the mTBI group, especially during the second year, with a 34% increase in risk. Adjusted risks for behavioral disorders were significant at years 2 and 4, with up to a 37% increase in risk. The age group with the highest risk for postinjury affective and behavioral disorders was 10- to 13-year-old patients. CONCLUSIONS: Sustaining an mTBI significantly increased the risks of having a new affective or behavioral disorder up to 4 years after injury. Initial and ongoing screening for affective and behavior disorders following an mTBI can identify persistent conditions that may pose barriers to recovery. |
Francisella tularensis bone and joint infections: United States, 2004-2023
Beeson AM , Baker M , Dell B , Schnitzler H , Oltean HN , Woodall T , Riedo F , Schwartz A , Petersen J , Hinckley AF , Marx GE . Clin Infect Dis 2024 78 S67-s70 Tularemia is caused by the highly infectious bacterium Francisella tularensis, which is recognized as a Tier 1 bioterrorism agent. Tularemia has a range of recognized clinical manifestations, but fewer than 20 bone or joint infections from 6 countries have been reported in the literature to date. This series includes 13 cases of F. tularensis septic arthritis or osteomyelitis in the United States during 2004-2023 and describes exposures, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and outcomes for this rare but severe form of tularemia. Clinicians should consider F. tularensis in patients with compatible exposures or a history of joint replacement or immunosuppression. |
Boot camp translation using community-engaged messaging for adolescent vaccination: A cluster-randomized trial
Cataldi JR , Suresh K , Brewer SE , Perreira C , Nederveld A , Skenadore A , Furniss A , Williams C , Severson R , Dempsey AF , O'Leary ST . Vaccine 2024 BACKGROUND: Routine vaccination coverage for adolescents living in the rural US is lower than adolescents living in urban areas. We sought to measure the effect of Boot Camp Translation (BCT), a community-based participatory intervention, on rural adolescent vaccination coverage. METHODS: A cluster randomized controlled trial was performed September 2018-November 2021 involving 16 rural Colorado counties. Intervention county community members engaged in BCT to develop interventions to improve adolescent vaccination locally. Adolescent vaccination coverage was measured using the Colorado Immunization Information System. RESULTS: For 11-12-year-olds, HPV initiation, HPV up-to-date, MenACWY, and Tdap vaccination coverage was lower post- versus pre-intervention in the control and intervention groups. For 11-12-year-olds in the intervention group, there was no significant difference post- versus pre-intervention in the odds of HPV vaccine initiation (adjusted ratio of odds ratios [aROR] = 0.93, 95 %: 0.85-1.02, p = 0.10) or up-to-date HPV vaccination (aROR: 1.10, 95 % CI: 0.98-1.23, p = 0.11) compared with the control group. Among 11-12-year-olds, the decrease in the proportion vaccinated with MenACWY and Tdap in the intervention group was significantly greater than the control group. Among 13-17-year-olds, there were significant increases in HPV initiation, HPV up-to-date, MenACWY, and Tdap vaccination coverage from pre- to post-intervention for both groups, with no significant differences between groups. CONCLUSION: 11-12-year-old vaccination coverage decreased slightly from pre- to post-intervention while 13-17-year-old vaccination coverage increased. We saw no effect from the BCT intervention. Our findings about the effectiveness of BCT for improving vaccine uptake may not be generalizable because the study coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY: This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03955757. |
Supporting National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups (NITAGs) in development of evidence-based vaccine recommendations and NITAG assessments - New tools and approaches
Hadler SC , Shefer AM , Cavallaro KF , Ebama M , Tencza C , Kennedy ED , Ndiaye S , Shah A , Torre L , Bresee JS . Vaccine 2024 Increasing opportunities for prevention of infectious diseases by new, effective vaccines and the expansion of global immunization programs across the life course highlight the importance and value of evidence-informed decision-making (EIDM) by National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups (NITAGs). The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and Task Force for Global Health (TFGH) have developed and made available new tools to support NITAGs in EIDM. These include a toolkit for conducting facilitated training of NITAGs, Secretariats, or work groups on the use of the Evidence to Recommendations (EtR) approach to advise Ministries of Health (MoH) on specific vaccine policies, and an eLearning module on the EtR approach for NITAG members, Secretariat and others. The CDC and TFGH have also supported final development and implementation of the NITAG Maturity Assessment Tool (NMAT) for assessing maturity of NITAG capabilities in seven functional domains. The EtR toolkit and eLearning have been widely promoted in collaboration with the World Health Organization (WHO) Headquarters and Regional Offices through workshops engaging over 30 countries to date, and the NMAT assessment tool used in most countries in 3 WHO regions (Americas, Eastern Mediterranean, African). Important lessons have been learned regarding planning and conducting trainings for multiple countries and additional ways to support countries in applying the EtR approach to complete vaccine recommendations. Priorities for future work include the need to evaluate the impact of EtR training and NMAT assessments, working with partners to expand and adapt these tools for wider use, synergizing with other approaches for NITAG strengthening, and developing the best approaches to empower NITAGs to use the EtR approach. |
Hepatitis B care continuum models-data to inform public health action
Spradling PR , Bocour A , Kuncio DE , Ly KN , Harris AM , Thompson ND . Public Health Rep 2024 333549231218277 The application of a care continuum model (CCM) can identify gaps in diagnosis, care, and treatment of populations with a common condition, but challenges are inherent in developing a CCM for chronic hepatitis B. In contrast with treatment for HIV or hepatitis C, treatment is not indicated for all people with chronic hepatitis B, clinical endpoints are not clear for those receiving treatment, and those for whom treatment is not indicated remain at risk for complications. This topical review examines the data elements necessary to develop and apply chronic hepatitis B CCMs at the jurisdictional health department level. We conducted a nonsystematic review of US-based publications in Ovid MEDLINE (1946-present), Ovid Embase (1974-present), and Scopus (not date limited) databases, which yielded 724 publications for review. Jurisdictional health departments, if properly supported, could develop locale-specific focused CCMs using person-level chronic hepatitis B registries, updated longitudinally using electronic laboratory reporting data and case reporting data. These CCMs could be applied to identify disparities and improve rates in testing and access to care and treatment, which are necessary to reduce liver disease and chronic hepatitis B mortality. Investments in public health surveillance infrastructure, including substantial enhancements in electronic laboratory reporting and case reporting and the use of supplementary data sources, could enable jurisdictional health departments to develop modified CCMs for chronic hepatitis B that focus, at least initially, on "early" CCM steps, which emphasize optimization of hepatitis B diagnosis, linkage to care, and ongoing clinical follow-up of diagnosed people, all of which can lead to improved outcomes. |
Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in preventing COVID-19-related thromboembolic events among Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years and those with end stage renal disease - United States, September 2022-March 2023
Payne AB , Novosad S , Wiegand RE , Najdowski M , Gomes DJ , Wallace M , Kelman JA , Sung HM , Zhang Y , Lufkin B , Chillarige Y , Link-Gelles R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (1) 16-23 COVID-19 has been associated with an increased risk for thromboembolic events, including ischemic stroke, venous thromboembolism, and myocardial infarction. Studies have reported lower rates of COVID-19-related thromboembolic events among persons who received the COVID-19 vaccine compared with persons who did not, but rigorous estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) in preventing COVID-19-related thromboembolic events are lacking. This analysis estimated the incremental benefit of receipt of a bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine after receiving an original monovalent COVID-19 vaccine. To estimate VE of a bivalent mRNA COVID-19 dose in preventing thromboembolic events compared with original monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses only, two retrospective cohort studies were conducted among Medicare fee-for-service enrollees during September 4, 2022-March 4, 2023. Effectiveness of a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-related thromboembolic events compared with that of original vaccine alone was 47% (95% CI = 45%-49%) among Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years and 51% (95% CI = 39%-60%) among adults aged ≥18 years with end stage renal disease receiving dialysis. VE was similar among Medicare beneficiaries with immunocompromise: 46% (95% CI = 42%-49%) among adults aged ≥65 years and 45% (95% CI = 24%-60%) among those aged ≥18 years with end stage renal disease. To help prevent complications of COVID-19, including thromboembolic events, adults should stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination. |
JYNNEOS™ effectiveness as post-exposure prophylaxis against Mpox: Challenges using real-world outbreak data
Rosen JB , Arciuolo RJ , Pathela P , Boyer CB , Baumgartner J , Latash J , Malec L , Lee EH , Reddy V , King R , Edward Real J , Lipsitch M , Zucker JR . Vaccine 2024 BACKGROUND: JYNNEOS(TM) vaccine has been used as post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) during a mpox outbreak in New York City (NYC). Data on effectiveness are limited. METHODS: Effectiveness of a single dose of JYNNEOS(TM) vaccine administered subcutaneously ≤ 14 days as PEP for preventing mpox disease was assessed among individuals exposed to case-patients from May 22, 2022-August 24, 2022. Individuals were evaluated for mpox through 21 days post-exposure. An observational study was conducted emulating a sequence of nested "target" randomized trials starting each day after exposure. Results were adjusted for exposure risk and race/ethnicity. Analyses were conducted separately based on last (PEP(L)) and first (PEP(F)) exposure date. We evaluated the potential to overestimate PEP effectiveness when using conventional analytic methods due to exposed individuals developing illness before they can obtain PEP (immortal time bias) compared to the target trial. RESULTS: Median time from last exposure to symptom onset (incubation period) among cases that did not receive PEP(L) was 7 days (range 1-16). Time to PEP(L) receipt was 7 days (range 0-14). Among 549 individuals, adjusted PEP(L) and PEP(F) effectiveness was 19 % (95 % Confidence Interval [CI], -54 % to 57 %) and -7% (95 % CI, -144 % to 53 %) using the target trial emulation, respectively, and 78 % (95 % CI, 50 % to 91 %) and 73 % (95 % CI, 31 % to 91 %) using conventional analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Determining PEP effectiveness using real-world data during an outbreak is challenging. Time to PEP in NYC coupled with the observed incubation period resulted in overestimated PEP effectiveness using a conventional method. The target trial emulation, while yielding wide confidence intervals due to small sample size, avoided immortal time bias. While results from these evaluations cannot be used as reliable estimates of PEP effectiveness, we present important methodologic considerations for future evaluations. |
Substantial but spatially heterogeneous progress in male circumcision for HIV prevention in South Africa
Thomas ML , Zuma K , Loykissoonlal D , Dube ZB , Vranken P , Porter SE , Kripke K , Seatlhodi T , Meyer-Rath G , Johnson LF , Imai-Eaton JW . Commun Med (Lond) 2024 4 (1) 1 BACKGROUND: Voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) reduces the risk of male HIV acquisition by 60%. Programmes to provide VMMCs for HIV prevention have been introduced in sub-Saharan African countries with high HIV burden. Traditional circumcision is also a long-standing male coming-of-age ritual, but practices vary considerably across populations. Accurate estimates of circumcision coverage by age, type, and time at subnational levels are required for planning and delivering VMMCs to meet targets and evaluating their impacts on HIV incidence. METHODS: We developed a Bayesian competing risks time-to-event model to produce region-age-time-type specific probabilities and coverage of male circumcision with probabilistic uncertainty. The model jointly synthesises data from household surveys and health system data on the number of VMMCs conducted. We demonstrated the model using data from five household surveys and VMMC programme data to produce estimates of circumcision coverage for 52 districts in South Africa between 2008 and 2019. RESULTS: Nationally, in 2008, 24.1% (95% CI: 23.4-24.8%) of men aged 15-49 were traditionally circumcised and 19.4% (18.9-20.0%) were medically circumcised. Between 2010 and 2019, 4.25 million VMMCs were conducted. Circumcision coverage among men aged 15-49 increased to 64.0% (63.2-64.9%) and medical circumcision coverage to 42% (41.3-43.0%). Circumcision coverage varied widely across districts, ranging from 13.4 to 86.3%. The average age of traditional circumcision ranged between 13 and 19 years, depending on local cultural practices. CONCLUSION: South Africa has made substantial, but heterogeneous, progress towards increasing medical circumcision coverage. Detailed subnational information on coverage and practices can guide programmes to identify unmet need to achieve national and international targets. | Voluntary medical male circumcision reduces the risk of male HIV acquisition. Programmes to provide circumcisions for HIV prevention have been introduced in sub-Saharan African countries with high HIV burden. Estimates of circumcision coverage are needed for planning and delivering circumcisions to meet targets and evaluate their impacts on HIV incidence. We developed a model to integrate date from both household surveys and health systems on the number of circumcisions conducted, and applied it to understand how the practices and coverage of circumcision are changing in South Africa. National circumcision coverage increased considerably between 2008 and 2019, however, there remains a substantial subnational variation across districts and age groups. Further progress is needed to reach national and international targets. | eng |
WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on immunization recommendations for use of a novel pentavalent meningococcal ACWXY vaccine: A critical step towards ending meningococcal epidemics in Africa
McNamara LA , Neatherlin J . J Travel Med 2024 Meningococcal meningitis, caused by the bacterium Neisseria meningitidis, is a devastating disease that can lead to death within 24 h of onset. The meningitis belt of Africa—a region south of the Sahara desert that spans 26 countries, from Senegal in the west to Ethiopia in the east—experiences the highest global burden of meningococcal meningitis and frequent epidemics.1 Historically, most epidemics in this region were caused by N. meningitidis serogroup A.1 However, beginning in 2010, a novel meningococcal serogroup A conjugate vaccine (MenACV; MenAfriVac) was introduced across the region.1 To date, mass MenACV vaccination campaigns targeting people aged 1–29 years have been implemented in 24 countries of the belt; 15 of these countries have also introduced the vaccine into their routine childhood immunization programmes.2 MenACV introduction in the belt has been an incredible public health success, with elimination of serogroup A epidemics and near-elimination of serogroup A disease.1 Much of the vaccine’s success can be attributed to its ability not only to prevent disease but also to eliminate asymptomatic meningococcal carriage.1 Since asymptomatic carriage is the primary source of meningococcal transmission, eliminating carriage is critical to provide population herd immunity.1 | | While MenACV introduction has eliminated serogroup A epidemics from the meningitis belt, serogroups C, W and X continue to cause disease and epidemics in the region.1 Serogroup C in particular has recently caused large outbreaks, including over 14 000 suspected meningitis cases in Nigeria in 2017 and recurrent outbreaks in Niger in 2020–2023.3,4 The ongoing devastation caused by these outbreaks highlights the urgent need for an affordable meningococcal conjugate vaccine for the meningitis belt that can protect against serogroups A, C, W and X. |
Rabies experts on demand: A cross-sectional study describing the use of a rabies telehealth service
Baker SE , Ross YB , Ellison JA , Monroe BP , Orciari LA , Petersen BW , Rao AK , Wallace RM . Public Health Chall 2023 2 (3) BACKGROUND: Rabies expert on demand (REOD) telehealth service is provided by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to assist public health practitioners, health providers, and the public to interpret national and international rabies prevention guidelines. REOD is staffed by subject matter experts of the CDC Poxvirus and Rabies Branch to assess each unique situation and provide evidence-based guidance to stakeholders. This study aims to describe the utilization of a rabies telehealth system and provide insight into common consultations. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of the nature of inquiries to REOD was done using the data collected from September 1, 2017 to September 30, 2021. An inquiry tracking form and Microsoft Access database were developed to document all inquiries received. Inquired ones were summarized to determine the frequency of inquiries by month, category, and location. RESULTS: Over a 49-month period, REOD received 5228 inquiries. Peak inquiries (n = 108) occurred during August 2019. The most frequent inquiries received pertained to risk assessment and management of rabies exposures (n = 1109), requests for testing assistance (n = 912), consultation for suspected human rabies (n = 746), rabies exposures and post-bite treatment occurring internationally (n = 310), and consultation for deviations in the recommended pre- and postexposure prophylaxis regimen (n = 300). CONCLUSION: REOD is a global resource for consultation related to managing rabies exposures, diagnostic issues, and rabies control strategies. REOD is a regularly utilized CDC service, as the demand for up-to-date rabies guidance remains high. REOD fulfills a critical role for the interpretation and consultation on rabies prevention guidelines to stakeholder. |
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